2022-2023年贵州省季节连旱特征及影响
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贵州省气候中心

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Characteristics and impacts of seasonally consecutive drought in Guizhou Province during 2022-2023
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    摘要:

    使用站点资料和再分析大气、海温数据,基于高温过程、气象干旱综合指数(MCI)及区域性干旱过程识别方法对2022-2023年贵州省季节连旱进行分析,探讨监测服务中可能存在的问题。结果表明:2022年8月13日至2023年2月21日的连旱为贵州1961年来最强、影响最大,持续时间第二长。2022年夏秋气温均为1961年以来同期最高,高温过程为1961年来最强、最多;7月至次年2月降水量为历史同期最少。2022年夏秋季西太副高偏强偏西,阶段性与伊朗高压打通呈“高压坝”,贵州受其控制而温高雨少;2022年夏季La Nina冷海温利于夏季风偏强,雨带偏北,贵州降水偏少。干旱明显影响供电、生产生活用水等,并在气象干旱过程结束后仍持续。气象干旱指数和农业干旱指数均对干旱发生和发展初期指示较好,对于持续干旱,尤其始于汛期的持续干旱,两种指数均有必要对前期水分盈亏回算后进行补充和再订正。主雨季重旱以上干旱比其他季节的干旱影响更深远。

    Abstract:

    This study investigates the characteristics and impacts of the seasonally consecutive drought in Guizhou Province during 2022-2023 with using the data of station observation, atmospheric reanalysis and sea surface temperature and the identification methods of high temperature processes, meteorological drought composite index (MCI), and regional drought processes and discuss the potential issues in drought monitoring services. Main results are as follows. The seasonally consecutive drought from August 13 of 2022 to February 21 of 2023 is the most intense one with the second longest duration and the greatest impact in Guizhou since 1961. The temperatures in summer and autumn of 2022 are both the highest during the same period since 1961 and also the high temperature processes are the strongest and most frequent since 1961. The precipitation from July of 2022 to February of 2023 is the lowest during the corresponding historical period.The western Pacific subtropical high was stronger and located more westward in summer and autumn of 2022, and temporarily connected with the Iranian high to form a high-pressure dam, under which Guizhou was controlled and influenced. The La Ni?a-like cold SST anomaly was conducive to a stronger summer monsoon and a northerly shift of the rain belt, resulting in less precipitation in Guizhou Province. The drought has significantly affected power supply and water usage for production and daily life.Both the MCI and the agricultural drought index provide good indications for the initial occurrence and development stage of drought. For persistent drought, especially starting from the rainy season, it is necessary for both indices to supplement and re-correct the previous water balance calculation. Severe droughts occurring in main rainy season have a more profound impact than those in other seasons.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-11-21
  • 最后修改日期:2025-02-13
  • 录用日期:2025-02-19
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