2023年粤北地区一次极端强降水水汽追踪分析
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广东省佛冈县气象局

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广东省气象局科研项目(GRMC2024M36)


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Analysis of the water vapor tracking on an extreme rainfall in Northern Guangdong in 2023
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    摘要:

    利用粤北地区雨量资料、ERA5逐小时和GDAS1再分析等资料,综合分析2023年6月22-24日粤北地区一次极端强降水过程的环流背景、动力成因和水汽环境、源地及其输送特征。结果表明: 500 hPa高空槽、850 hPa低涡切变和异常强盛的西南季风是此次极端强降水过程的直接影响系统。高层辐散和强烈的上升运动有利于水汽在强降水区向上输送。西南水汽通道建立时间早,后期南海水汽的加入,为极端强降水持续提供了源源不断的水汽供应。120 h后向轨迹聚类分析表明500 hPa以下各层水汽传输路径较相似,主要有偏东太平洋、偏南南海及偏西印度洋-孟加拉湾三个通道,其中来自偏东太平洋的水汽贡献最大。此次过程中,低层西、南边界均为净流入,东、北边界为净流出,在降水强盛期和减弱期,南边界水汽收入最大。

    Abstract:

    By the conventional meteorological observation data, ERA5 hourly reanalysis data, and other sources, a comprehensive analysis was conducted on an extreme rainfall event that occurred in northern Guangdong from June 22 to June 24, 2023. This analysis focused on the circulation background field, dynamic causes, water vapor environment, and moisture transportation characteristics associated with the heavy rain. The results indicated that the 500 hPa upper-level trough, 850 hPa low vortex shear, and anomalously strong southwest monsoon were the direct influencing systems for this precipitation event. The divergence in the upper atmosphere and strong upward motion facilitated the upward transport of water vapor in the rain-affected area. The southwestern water vapor channel was established early, and the later addition of water vapor from the South China Sea provided a continuous supply of moisture for the sustained extreme heavy precipitation. The trajectory clustering analysis conducted 120 hours later revealed that the moisture transport paths below 500 hPa are relatively similar across various layers, primarily comprising three channels: the eastern Pacific, the southern South China Sea, and the western Indian Ocean-Bay of Bengal. Among these, the moisture originating from the eastern Pacific contributes the most.Throughout the heavy rain event, the southern and western boundaries at the lower levels exhibited net inflow, whereas the eastern and northern boundaries demonstrated net outflow. Notably, during both the peak and the weakening periods of the heavy rain, the moisture inflow from the southern boundary was at its highest.

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  • 收稿日期:2024-11-15
  • 最后修改日期:2025-03-07
  • 录用日期:2025-03-07
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